Leo Fernandez to beat Chen Zifan 1pt – 2.75 @ William Hill
Chang Bingyu Highest Break Scorer v Chris Wakelin 2pts – 1.8 @ William Hill
Ken Doherty +2.5 v Mark Selby 1pt – 1.85 @ Bet Victor
Joe Perry to beat Scott Donaldson 1pt – 1.83 @ Betway
Andrew Higginson to beat Stuart Carrington 1pt – 2.14 @ SBK
Tian Pengfei Highest Break Scorer v Anthony Hamilton 2pts – 1.67 @ William Hill
Sunny Akani +2.5 v Judd Trump 1pt – 1.91 @ Ladbrokes
Fernandez has been consistently better than Zifan this season, won 3 of his 7 matches in the pro series, beat Maguire and Heathcote in the Championship League and had an impressive 4-1 win over the experienced Ian Burns here this week. His frame win ratio for the season of 46.43% is much better than Zifans 35.71% and he looks good value in this one.
Bingyu has made 9 centuries for the season averaging one every 11 frames and averages a 50+ break every 3.03 frames, Wakelin averages a century every 23.75 and a 50+ every 3.65. Bingyu has won this market in 12 out of 15 matches this season. Wakelin has won this market in only 6 out of 14.
Selby has played 18 best of 7 matches this season and lost at least 2 frames in 11 of them, this includes matches against Kleckers, Joyce, Bond and Bingyu.
Doherty has played better this season than he has done for a few years, in the Championship League he reached the final group stage, eliminating Un-Nooh and beating Robertson and Higgins along the way, he took Kyren Wilson to a deciding frame and yesterday beat Stevens to make it past the 1st round here. In his last meeting with Selby he took him to a deciding frame in a best of 9 last season.
Surprised to see Perry not a heavier favourite against Donaldson here, he’s a much more consistent player, Donaldson has been very average this season and sits 53rd on the 1-year list, 32 places behind Perry. Perry has a frame win ratio for the season of 54.76, Donaldson at just 51.01. Perry leads the head to head 5-1.
Higginson is ranked higher than Carrington in both the rankings and the one-year list, has a higher match win ratio for the season and a higher frame win ratio for the season. Had an impressive win over Haotian in the first here this week and should be favourite for this match in my opinion.
Hamilton has played 8 matches this season and lost the highest break scorer market in 6 of them. Pengfei has won this market in 8 out of 15 this season. Hamilton averages a 50+ break every 5.23 frames, Pengfei averages one every 3.16.
Trump has played 19 best of 7 matches this season and lost at least 2 frames in 11 of them. Akani has played 2 best of 7s against top 16 players this season, beating Maguire 4-1 and winning 2 frames against Lisowski and he also cleared this line in a 5-3 defeat to Robertson.