Go Collect+98.9+1

William Hill4stars
Mr Green3stars
Paddy Power3stars

Farmers Insurance Open – Match-bets and Missed Cuts

Bubba Watson v Sungjae Im Match-Bet (Tie-no-bet), 2.0 @ Mr Green, 3.3pts

Alex Noren to miss the cut, 2.5 @ Bet365, 2.2pts

Dylan Fritelli to miss the cut, 2.25 @ Bet365, 3.3pts

Jordan Spieth to miss the cut, 2.25 @ PaddyPower, 4.4pts

Bubba Watson looks good value for me in this weeks match-bet against Im. Watson is yet to miss a cut this year from 4 events whilst Im has an equally impressive only 1 missed cut from 11 events. In the 4 events these have both played in it’s currently 2-2 this season so evens looks about right.

That said Watson ranks better in every category bar with the putter. If he irons that out this week there should only be one winner. Watson has slightly more distance of the tee too which could prove very useful this week. Wrong favourite for me and think Watson should be the one odds on.

Like usual, I’ve ranked the field to find those who I think are in the lower half and should be good choice to oppose in the cut market this week.

First of those is Alex Noren. Whilst he has made 5 cuts in 7 events, his overall SG figures are really poor. Ranks 154th on tour for this year and is 177th tee to green, which could be a huge factor this week. Happy to oppose him this week at a decent price.

Next is Dylan Frittelli and for a chunky stake too. He’s missed 3 cuts in the last 7 events and his putting has been atrocious. Let’s bank on that continuing this week. He missed the cut here 2 years ago and only slight improved last year with a T73 finish. Again, happy to oppose at above evens.

The biggest stake of this week goes on Jordan Spieth to miss the cut. He’s missed 3 out of 6 this season and doesn’t look to be turning around what has been a miserable few years. You’d expect his putting to be pretty good but he’s still ranked outside the top 100 in this aspect and outside the top 200 off the tee! This will be crucial this week and I really don’t see it as being the week he turns it all around. Fully expect his misery to continue… so let’s profit off that and then at least someone gets some joy! 😀

A few bets stood out this week, some of them opposing Woodland and other opposing Leishman. I’ve decided to dodge them this week. Woodland looks to have recovered well from his injury, especially if you take what he has been saying as gospel – that may be one to monitor over the coming weeks.

Similarly, Leishman looks to have turned his abysmal form around so happy to keep tabs on that for a while. May be a long time before we decide to get on board with either of these golfers but for now not confident enough to oppose them.

Enjoy this weeks golf everybody!


Notify of
Oldest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
1 month ago

Haha yes indeed. Very nervous / excited. Gavin green to FRL tomorrow and give us all a relaxing weekend! 😁

1 month ago
Reply to  GolfModPro

I’m feeling it, almost as much as the Broberg win!! 😂

1 month ago

High roller this week. Good Luck. I hope they all come in. Would be pretty epic!! I’m feeling lucky this week, but then again I do most weeks and doesn’t normally make any jot of difference.

More Golf Betting Tips

Latest Tips

Bookie Offers

£20 Risk Free Bet

New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any sportsbook market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using cards or Apple Pay will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply. Paddy's Rewards Club: Get a £10 free bet when you place 5x bets of £10+. T&Cs apply.

£20 Risk Free

New customers only. Deposit £20 using Debit Card, bank transfer or Trustly. Up to your first £20 of losses will be refunded as CASH within 24 hours of qualifying bet having been settled. T&Cs apply.

Bet £5 Get £20

18+ New UK+IRE customers. Paypal and certain deposit types and bet types excluded. Min £5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 = 4 x £5 free bets. Free bets valid for 4 days on sports, stake not returned, restrictions apply. T&Cs apply. Promo Code: 20FREE

Up to £100 in Bet Credits

Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit £5. Bet Credits available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply

Up to £25 in Free Bets

Limited time New Customer Sign up offer to SpreadEx. Place a £25 Fixed Odds Single Bet at minimum odds of 1/2. Get 5 x £5 free fixed odds single bets. Free Bets applied to account on consecutive days. Valid only using this link. Place a smaller qualifying fixed odds single bet and get different amount of free bets. 18+ Full T&Cs Apply