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Arnold Palmer Invitational – Outright Betting Pick

Bryson Dechambeau 0.76pts ew – 13.0 @ William Hill (8 places, 1/5 odds)

So last month was crap… but that’s the way golf betting goes sometimes. Summed up on Sunday with Zalatoris missing from 2ft on the 18th last night for a top 20 pay out.

Koepka couldn’t close out the tourno from being near to evens at one point either. And earlier in the month there was the Max stakes tip on Xander which blew up when being as short as 1.5 at one point! It’s often a game of fine margins.

That said I think as the season is progressing and the golf is coming thick and fast the stats are becoming more reliable and hence the model prices should become more robust so not all bad news.

This week, I really like the chance of Bryson Dechambeau. It wasn’t his finest performance last week but he did bounce back really well from an opening day 77 to finish T22 in the end and impressively 6 under par!

This course should suit Dechambeau. It tends to favor those who are strong with the driver and Bryson’s SG off the tee is, as you’d expect, 1st on tour. He is also now 1st overall SG on tour for the season so far too. His latest 3 outings at this event have harvested a 2nd, 46th and 4th, which offers further encouragement.

I have Bryson as favourite for the week and should be around 9/1. The actual market leader is Rory McIlroy and whilst everyone knows how good Rory can be, it seems a long time ago, and very happy to oppose him here with max places on offer for added insurance.

Will hopefully have another outright tomorrow but will at least be back with the usual top 20 and match-bet stuff.

FEATURED IMAGE “Rory McIlroy during practice rounds at the 2015 TOUR Championship” by Cem0030 is licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0. This section is an excerpt of the original

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